What about the fact that all your gearing will be higher and that you will have to push the engine harder to have the car get going? Or the extra weight/ rotational inertia of the wheels/tires? Or the extra traction/friction of the tires? Do you still believe the mpg will go up?
Yep!
However, I take it you skipped over the part where I mentioned rolling resistance and whether or not the majority of driving would be done in town stop and go, or mostly on the open highway.
In town, it
may go down, but not an appreciable amount. On the highway, it
may go up, again not an appreciable amount. This isn't rocket science...we aren't talking about a
lot of extra weight, or a
big difference in overall wheel/tire height here.
I get amused when I read something like
"I got 1 mpg less, or 1 mpg more, after putting on 20" wheels". Jeez, you can get get a one or two mile per gallon difference, simply if the outside air temp goes up or down 20 degrees...or the air density/relative humidity goes up or down 20%...or you're driving into a 20mph headwind, or have a 20mph tailwind.
Most people I know, when they change to 20" wheels, end up getting tires with a lower sidewall dimension, to compensate for the additional increase in diameter. They don't want their ride to end up looking like a 4x4 pickup truck.
IOW, there really isn't much need for concern over what effect on gas mileage going from OEM wheels/tires to some 19's or 20 incher aftermarket ones. Unless the driver is really into
drag racing his Accord....then some of those factors you mentioned
might come into play in regards to his 60 ft, ET, and trap times.